The Milwaukee Bucks visit the Phoenix Suns for Game 2 of the 2021 NBA Finals on Thursday. The Bucks trail the Suns by a 1-0 margin in the series after a 118-105 defeat in Game 1 on Tuesday. Phoenix looks to take a commanding lead in the rematch, with Milwaukee seeking a pivotal road win. Dario Saric (knee) is out for the Suns, with Donte DiVincenzo (ankle) ruled out for the Bucks. Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) has been removed from the injury report after returning from a two-game absence in Game 1 of this series.
Game 2 is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET at Phoenix Suns Arena. The latest Bucks vs. Suns odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Phoenix as the 4.5-point favorite, down a point from the opening line. The over-under for total points expected is down to 220.5. Before locking in any Suns vs. Bucks picks or NBA Finals 2021 predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $700 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the 2021 NBA Finals on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in its Bucks vs. Suns picks and predictions for Game 2 of the NBA Finals 2021. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Suns vs. Bucks:
Bucks vs. Suns spread: Suns -4.5Bucks vs. Suns over-under: 220.5 points Bucks vs. Suns money line: Suns -200, Bucks +175MIL: The Bucks are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games PHX: The Suns are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games
Featured Game | Phoenix Suns vs. Milwaukee Bucks
Why the Bucks can cover
The Bucks found their 3-point shooting stroke in Game 1, even in defeat. Milwaukee made 16 of its 36 offerings from long distance, rapidly improving on a 31 percent clip from the first three rounds. Given that Milwaukee was a top-five 3-point shooting team (38.9 percent) in the regular season, that uptick is expected, but it also provides positivity about the future. On top of that, the presence of Antetokounmpo allows the Bucks to attack the rim offensively and protect the rim defensively, forcing the Suns into difficult attempts.
Phoenix was able to make them in Game 1, but Milwaukee’s overall plan is analytically driven, and the Bucks have a stellar defense to fall back on. The Bucks are allowing fewer than 1.06 points per possession during the 2021 NBA playoffs, the No. 1 mark in the NBA, and they are also the top defensive rebounding team when removing squads that were eliminated in Round 1. Milwaukee is generating 7.6 steals per game in the postseason, fueling transition offense, and the Bucks should be able to garner more traction on the offensive glass than they had in Game 1. Milwaukee throttled Atlanta to the tune of a 33.9 percent offensive rebound rate, and the Bucks didn’t quite capture that magic in the opener against Phoenix.
Why the Suns can cover
Phoenix put on a show in Game 1. The Suns out-scored the Bucks by double digits, even as Milwaukee had a strong 3-point shooting performance. Chris Paul was the best player on the floor, scoring 32 points in the final three quarters. Phoenix is perhaps the best mid-range shooting team in the NBA, and both Paul and Devin Booker were able to create the looks they desired.
Deandre Ayton was a dominant force near the rim, mitigating Milwaukee’s size advantage by scoring 22 points and grabbing 19 rebounds. The former No. 1 overall pick is averaging 16.5 points and 12.2 rebounds per game during the playoffs, and the Suns have been dominant with him on the floor. As a team, Phoenix is out-scoring opponents by more than seven points per 100 possessions in an expansive playoff sample. They are a top-tier team on both ends, and the Suns were able to wall off the paint against Milwaukee in the opener, which is undoubtedly a good sign for Game 2 in their home building.
How to make Bucks vs. Suns picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with 11 players projected to score in double figures. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get this pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Bucks vs Suns? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Suns vs Bucks spread you need to jump on Thursday, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.