Jazz vs. Pacers odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, April 16 predictions from model on 95-59 roll

The Utah Jazz host the Indiana Pacers in a matinee battle on Friday. Utah has the NBA’s best record at 41-14, and the Jazz are a blistering 25-3 in home games. Indiana has been stellar on the road, posting a 17-12 record away from their home venue. Jordan Clarkson (ankle) is probable for Utah, with Derrick Favors (knee) listed as doubtful. Myles Turner (ankle) and Doug McDermott (ankle) are questionable for Indiana.

Tip-off is at 3 p.m. ET in Salt Lake City. William Hill Sportsbook lists Utah as a 9.5-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 235 in the latest Pacers vs. Jazz odds. Before making any Jazz vs. Pacers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it has returned over $9,100 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up over $1,100 on its top-rated picks this season, and dating back to last year, it entered Week 17 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 95-59 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Jazz vs. Pacers. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Pacers vs. Jazz:

Pacers vs. Jazz spread: Jazz -9.5Pacers vs. Jazz over-under: 235 pointsPacers vs. Jazz money line: Jazz -450; Pacers +370IND: The Pacers are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 gamesUTAH: The Jazz are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured Game | Utah Jazz vs. Indiana Pacers

Why the Pacers can cover

The Pacers are a balanced, talented team that is effective on both ends of the floor. Indiana is a top-10 team in 2-point shooting, converting 54.3 percent of its attempts inside the arc. Part of that stems from tremendous passing, with the Pacers ranking in the top five in assists at 26.7 per game. Indiana is also above-average in taking care of the ball, committing a turnover on only 13.6 percent of possessions, and the Jazz are last in the NBA in turnover creation rate (11.4 percent). 

On the opposite end, the Pacers lead the league in blocked shots (6.3 per game), with a top-five mark in steals (8.6 per game). On the whole, Indiana creates a turnover on 14.9 percent of defensive possessions, which could help to positively increase variance against a stout opponent in the Jazz. The Pacers also limit their opponents to only 11.6 3-pointers per game, ranking No. 6 in the NBA, and that is crucial against Utah’s long-range attack.

Why the Jazz can cover

Utah is operating at an elite level on both sides of the ball, leading to the best record in the NBA. The Jazz boast a top-three offense in the NBA, scoring almost 1.17 points per possession, and they are a top-five team in true shooting percentage (59.5 percent). Some of that stems from tremendous 3-point shooting, with the Jazz knocking down 39.0 percent of their attempts and leading the NBA with 16.8 3-pointers per game. Utah is also a top-10 team in free throw accuracy (79.1 percent), with above-average free throw creation. The Jazz also project to have a tremendous edge on the offensive glass, with a top-five ranking in offensive rebounding against a Pacers team that is 30th in the NBA in protecting the defensive glass. 

On the other side of the floor, the Jazz are holding opponents to just 1.076 points per possession, landing in the top five of the NBA. Utah is No. 1 in the league in shooting efficiency allowed, with top-two marks in 2-point shooting allowed (50.2 percent) and 3-point shooting allowed (34.3 percent). From there, the Jazz are a top-tier group in defensive rebound rate (75.3 percent), free throw prevention rate, assists allowed (22.3 per game) and blocked shots (5.4 per game).

How to make Pacers vs. Jazz picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 225 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Pacers vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 95-59 roll on NBA picks.

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