The Dallas Mavericks and the Brooklyn Nets will face off in a cross-conference showcase on Saturday. Dallas and Brooklyn are led by star power, and the first game between the two teams this season will be broadcast on national television. The Mavericks are 15-16 overall, while the Nets enter this game at 22-12. Kevin Durant (hamstring) is out for Brooklyn, with Jeff Green (shoulder) listed as questionable. Kristaps Porzingis (back) is questionable to play for Dallas.
Tipoff is at 8:30 p.m. ET in Brooklyn. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Nets as four-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 236 in the latest Mavericks vs. Nets odds. Before you make any Mavericks vs. Nets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model also is up almost $8,700 on top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it enters Week 10 of the 2020-21 NBA schedule on a stunning 85-49 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Mavericks vs. Nets. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Nets vs. Mavericks:
Nets vs. Mavericks spread: Nets -4Nets vs. Mavericks over-under: 236 pointsNets vs. Mavericks money line: Nets -175, Mavericks +155DAL: Mavericks are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 gamesBKN: Nets are 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Nets can cover
The Nets lead the NBA in offense, both on an efficiency basis and in raw scoring. Brooklyn scores more than 1.18 points per possession and 121.4 points per game, while the Nets lead the NBA in field goal percentage (50.2 percent) and true shooting percentage (62.3 percent) this season.
Brooklyn is also No. 2 in three-point accuracy (40.7 percent), No. 4 in three-point volume (15.3 three-pointers per game), No. 6 in free throw shooting (80.9 percent) and No. 3 in assists (27.0 per game), deploying an unstoppable offensive attack.
Against Dallas, Brooklyn should also benefit from their opponent’s defensive weaknesses, as the Mavericks rank in the bottom five of the league in overall defensive rating. The Nets also have the edge in free throw creation and prevention, with the ability to throw multiple defensive looks at Luka Doncic, including a switching style that has been effective in recent days.
Why the Mavericks can cover
The Mavericks got off to a slow start offensively in 2020-21, but they have found their form. Led by Luka Doncic, Dallas is scoring 1.19 points per possession in the last 10 games, bringing their full-season offensive efficiency into the top tier. Doncic is averaging 28.5 points, 9.0 assists and 8.4 rebounds per game, and the Mavericks are an above-average shooting team with a 57.6 percent true shooting mark. Dallas also takes care of the ball at a high level, committing turnovers on only 12.6 percent of possessions, and the Mavericks are a top-five team in generating free throws.
Brooklyn struggles defensively, ranking 24th in the NBA, and is a bottom-tier team in turnover creation and rebounding. The Mavericks will have their hands full with the Nets on the perimeter defensively, but Dallas boasts a top-10 mark in points in the paint allowed (45.6 per game).
How to make Nets vs. Mavericks picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with only eight players projected to score in double-figures. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nets vs. Mavericks? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that on an 85-49 roll on NBA picks.