The Brooklyn Nets (9-8) are hoping to see their Big 3 — Kevin Durant, James Harden and Kyrie Irving — on the court together for the second time when they host the Miami Heat (6-8) on Saturday in the first of a two-game series. The Nets return home after absorbing a pair of road losses to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Durant is expected back in the lineup after missing Friday’s matchup to rest his Achilles injury. Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at Barclays Center.
The latest Heat vs. Nets odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Brooklyn as a 7.5-point favorite, down half a point from the opening line. The over-under for total points is up to 232.5 after opening at 230. Before finalizing any Nets vs. Heat picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it is also on a stunning 68-39 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,500 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Heat. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Heat vs. Nets:
Heat vs. Nets spread: Nets -7.5Heat vs. Nets over-under: 232.5 pointsHeat vs. Nets money line: Nets -300, Heat +250MIA: PG Tyler Herro (neck) will miss both games against BrooklynBKN: The Nets have reached agreement to sign free-agent center Norvel Pelle
Why the Nets can cover
Harden has racked up too many individual honors to mention but he had a career first in Friday’s loss: starting at power forward. The three-time scoring champion, in his fourth game with Brooklyn since he was acquired from Houston in a four-team blockbuster trade, had his lowest point total since joining the Nets. Still, he finished with a double-double (19 points, 11 assists).
Harden has excelled as a facilitator for Brooklyn, collecting at least 11 assists in each game despite the absence of Durant in Friday’s loss. The Nets have been undermanned since trading away four players in the deal for Harden, but they received much-needed contributions from a pair of reserves Friday. Jeff Green and Timothé Luwawu-Cabarrot combined for 24 points while playing 26 minutes each.
Why the Heat can cover
The Heat are 4-3 against the Nets since the start of the 2018-19 season and posted a pair of victories in Brooklyn in that span. Miami is severely undermanned playing without Jimmy Butler (ankle), Avery Bradley (protocols), Meyers Leonard (shoulder) and Herro, but Kendrick Nunn has provided a huge spark off the bench. He is averaging 22.7 points in his last three, including a season-high 28 Wednesday vs. Toronto.
And while Miami ranks just 22nd in the league in scoring at 108.2 points per game, Brooklyn’s shaky defense could be just what the the Heat need to get going. The Nets rank 27th in the league in scoring defense, giving up 116.4 points per game on the season. The Cavaliers just averaged a whopping 136 points per game in their back-to-back wins against Brooklyn.
How to make Nets vs. Heat picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 241 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Heat vs. Nets? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Heat vs. Nets spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.