The New Orleans Pelicans visit the Phoenix Suns in a nationally televised matchup on Tuesday evening. New Orleans is 2-1 on the season with victories over the Toronto Raptors and San Antonio Spurs. Phoenix is also 2-1 after beating the Dallas Mavericks in the season opener and splitting a back-to-back matchup against the Sacramento Kings. Wenyen Gabriel (knee/quadriceps) is out for New Orleans. Dario Saric (quad) is probable for Phoenix, with Abdel Nader (concussion) and Jalen Smith (ankle) ruled out.
Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET in Phoenix. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Suns as 2.5-point home favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 222 in the latest Pelicans vs. Suns odds. Before you make any Suns vs. Pelicans picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Dating back to last season, it is on a stunning 62-36 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,200 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Pelicans vs. Suns. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Suns vs. Pelicans:
Pelicans vs. Suns spread: Suns -2.5Pelicans vs. Suns over-under: 222 pointsPelicans vs. Suns money line: Suns -140, Pelicans +120NO: The Pelicans are 18-14-2 against the spread in the last 34 road gamesPHX: The Suns are 14-21 against the spread in the last 35 home games
Why the Pelicans can cover
The Pelicans are an offense-first team in terms of roster construction, but the team is performing well defensively in the early going. New Orleans is allowing only 1.02 points per possession this season, ranking top six in the NBA, and a big part of that is closing possessions with excellent defensive rebounding. In three games, the Pelicans are grabbing 80.5 percent of available defensive rebounds, and also rank near the top of the NBA in free throw rate allowed. New Orleans also causes havoc, creating a turnover on 17.7 percent of defensive possessions.
On the other end, Brandon Ingram and Zion Williamson lead a dynamic offensive, with a strongly above-average free throw rate. The Pelicans are also a top-10 team on the offensive glass, grabbing 26.7 percent of available rebounds after their own missed shots.
Why the Suns can cover
The Suns are led by an elite backcourt pairing with Devin Booker and Chris Paul. After averaging 26.6 points and 6.5 assists per game last season, Booker is off to a strong start, including 22.7 points per game in the early going. Paul is adding 12.7 points and 9.7 assists per game, with Mikal Bridges breaking out to the tune of 16.3 points on 45 percent shooting from three-point distance.
Offensively, ball security has been a strength for Phoenix, turning the ball over on only 12.9 percent of possessions. The defense has also been strong, holding opponents to just a 49.6 percent effective field goal shooting mark and 102.7 points per 100 possessions.
How to make Pelicans vs. Suns picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, with the simulations showing the teams combining for 224 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Suns vs. Pelicans? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Pelicans vs. Suns spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.