North Carolina vs. UNLV odds, line: 2020 Maui Invitational picks, predictions from proven model

The 16th-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels (1-0) come into the 2020 Maui Invitational with a chip on their shoulder, and the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (0-1) will get a look at their revamped roster on Monday night. UNC went 14-19 and finished last in the Atlantic Coast Conference last season, the first losing season in Roy Williams’ 32 years as a head coach, but star forward Garrison Brooks leads a young roster loaded with talent. Among the other teams in the Maui Invitational field are Indiana, Texas and Alabama. The event was moved from Hawaii to Asheville, N.C., because of COVID-19 concerns.

Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET at Harrah’s Cherokee Center. The Tar Heels are 13-point favorites in the latest North Carolina vs. UNLV odds at William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under for total points scored is 154. Before making any UNLV vs. North Carolina picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of $2,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on UNC vs. UNLV. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for UNLV vs. UNC:

North Carolina vs. UNLV: Tar Heels -13North Carolina vs. UNLV over-under: 154UNC: F Garrison Brooks 20 or more points in seven of his final eight games last season. UNLV: G Bryce Hamilton averaged 22.8 points over his final 13 games of the 2019-20 campaign.Why North Carolina can cover

UNC is 5-2 against the spread in its last seven overall dating back to last season, and the Heels have a strong front court with Brooks and sophomore Armando Bacot. The 6-foot-10 Bacot excels defensively and averaged 8.3 rebounds per game last season, while Brooks is the ACC’s top returning scorer at 16.8 and led the Heels with 8.5 boards. They combined for 19 of the team’s 49 boards in a 79-60 win against College of Charleston in the opener, and Bacot scored 12 and Brooks had six as the freshmen led the way.

The Heels are 43-38-2 ATS as a favorite since 2017, and freshmen Caleb Love, R.J. Davis and Day’Ron Sharpe all contributed immediately. Love had team highs with 17 points and four assists, Sharpe had 13 points and 10 rebounds and Davis scored 11. Forward Walker Kessler had six points and four rebounds in five minutes as he was limited after being in the COVID protocol, and Donovan Johnson is expected to contribute after being held to three minutes. 

Why UNLV can cover

UNLV is 5-0 against the spread in its last five Monday games, and there is optimism with Bryce Hamilton teaming with transfer David Jenkins. Hamilton averaged 16 points and 5.5 rebounds last season and scored 27 in the opener, while Jenkins excelled under UNLV coach TJ Otzelberger for two seasons at South Dakota State. Guard Nick Blake is a four-star recruit out of Florida’s IMG Academy who was named Mountain West preseason Freshman of the Year. 

The Runnin’ Rebels are 5-2 ATS in their last five overall, and Blake and Jenkins can shoot from outside. Blake made four of six 3-point attempts in the opener on his way to 16 points, and Jenkins averaged 19.7 points as a sophomore with the Jackrabbits. He made 45.3 percent from beyond the arc and was named to the All-Summit League first team. Center Cheikh Mbacke Diong holds down the middle and averaged 7.9 rebounds and 1.2 blocked shots last year.

How to make North Carolina vs. UNLV picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, suggesting that no individual player scores more than 15 points. It also says one side of the spread is hitting over 60 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine. 

So who wins UNLV vs. UNC? And which side of the spread cashes in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the UNC vs. UNLV spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up $2,400 on its top-rated college basketball spread picks over the last four years, and find out.

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