NBA DFS Plays Saturday 9/19


This article aims to highlight some of the best plays for today’s showdown NBA slate. Keep in mind that the following player write-ups were constructed earlier in the day, and sometimes injury/rest situations can alter the fantasy landscape. Monitoring our NBA News & Headlines Feed throughout the day will keep you in the loop. Today’s showdown slate on FanDuel and DraftKings features Boston and Miami at 8:30 ET.

DraftKings format uses six players with one captain earning 1.5X fantasy points (and costing 1.5X salary). FanDuel format uses five players with MVP (2.0X fantasy points), Star (1.5X), Pro (1.2X) and two utility. Yahoo does not have NBA DFS today.

Top Priorities

Goran Dragic – Miami (vs. Boston) – DK $12,300 (Capt)/$8200, FD: $11,000

Dragic is a no-brainer Captain or MVP today. He’s been playing his heart out, averaging about 35 MPG in the playoffs, and scoring 29 and 25 points per game in this series. His three-point shot is falling well – about 45 percent in the playoffs, with only a couple blips. I actually would pick Boston to win this game, and am high on several Boston players today, but Dragic has to be a component of your lineups, and the salary hit for the Captain on DraftKings is pretty easy to take.

Jayson Tatum – Boston (at Miami) – DK $15,600 (Capt)/$10,400, FD: $16,000

Tatum is the most expensive player on the slate tonight, but with some creative bargaining (see below), you can fit him without much compromise. After a run of three 60-plus fantasy point games, Tatum took only 12 shots from the field Thursday night, missing both his threes. He was fairly ineffective overall, with only five rebounds and four assists in Game 2. So in order for Boston to stay in this race, Tatum needs to return to form. Despite coming off the bad game, he’s a priority for me tonight.

Bam Adebayo – Miami (vs. Boston) – DK: $13,800 (Capt)/$9200, FD: $15,000

Adebayo had one down game (Game 7) vs. Milwaukee, but he is a huge reason the Heat are able to press on and win no matter what the game looks like early on. Because the Celtics can’t guard him, he’s playing a ton of minutes. He’s continued to look fresh, coming off a double-double Thursday in which he scored 21 points with only one made free throw. He can put up fantasy points in every category, and is the consistency I want in my Showdown lineup.  

Jaylen Brown – Boston (at Miami) – DK: $12,900 (Capt)/$8,600, FD: $13,000

The other key for Boston, who has demonstrated that they deserve to be in the ring with Miami, but hasn’t been able to close out games in this series, is Brown. He’s taken only 14 shots from the field per game (lowest since Game 2 vs. Toronto), though his three-point percentage is great. His peripherals are a bit shaky, but he’s still nearly guaranteed for 25-plus fantasy points. I really believe Brown needs to dig super deep and bring all the hustle and energy to this game for Boston to notch their first win.

Bargains

 

Tyler Herro – Miami (vs. Boston) – DK: $7200, FD: $10,000

It pays to try a few different lineups in the bigger GPPs on a Showdown slate, and one way to go is more mid-range than star-scrub. If you like the idea of potentially lower-rostered Kemba Walker or Jimmy Butler, Herro is a nice complement, salary-wise. He’s been fantastic the last three games, providing a great balance of shooting, rebounding and passing for the Heat, enabling his best teammate in the moment to make a play, but not afraid to take the hero shot himself (we need more Herro puns).

Kelly Olynyk – Miami (vs. Boston) – DK: $4200, FD: $6500 or

Enes Kanter – Boston (at Miami) – DK: $1900, FD: $6000

I include Olynyk here to make playing Kanter seem more reasonable. Both big men fall into the bargain range, but on DraftKings, Kanter opens up so much more for your lineup. He’s the difference between Tatum and Herro or Jae Crowder (or Gordon Hayward, if he plays). Kanter was tested in Game 2, where he scored nine points with six rebounds in 11 minutes, after playing just seven minutes in the last two-plus weeks. The problem is that he did nothing to stop Adebayo in Game 2, so what the C’s decide to do tonight is anyone’s guess. Kanter is fresh, and definitely provides an offensive spark when he’s on the court. If he plays 10-15 minutes tonight, he’s worth the salary. As for Olynyk, although our NBA DFS Optimizer is pretty high on him, I feel like he’s been a lot less effective in this series. He had his moments vs. Milwaukee, but I prefer the additional savings, despite the risk, with Kanter.

Marcus Smart – Boston (at Miami) – DK: $7800, FD: $9500

Smart hasn’t been at his best in this series, and I add him to the list of Boston players that have to do more if they are to stay alive vs. Miami. They are tired, I know, but Smart needs to be more aggressive on the boards, and in transition. I’m not concerned if Hayward is back tonight, and I’m trying to make lineups that take advantage of Smart’s ceiling at this mid-range salary.

 

 

 



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