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After three consecutive losses, the Denver Nuggets avoided elimination with a 117-107 victory over the Utah Jazz on Tuesday evening. In Game 6, the Nuggets will again be in a must-win scenario, with Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic leading the way against Rudy Gobert, Donovan Mitchell and the Jazz on Sunday. Gary Harris (hip) is listed as questionable for the Nuggets, with Will Barton (knee) ruled out. For the Jazz, Ed Davis (knee) and Justin Wright-Foreman (not with team) are unavailable to play.
Tip-off for this 2020 NBA Playoffs matchup is at 8:30 p.m. ET. William Hill lists Utah as a 2.5-point favorite in the Jazz vs. Nuggets odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 219.5. Before making any Nuggets vs. Jazz picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned over $4,700 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 59-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,300 on those picks alone. It’s also 7-2 on top-rated picks since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Jazz vs. Nuggets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Nuggets vs. Jazz:
Nuggets vs. Jazz spread: Utah -2.5Nuggets vs. Jazz over-under: 219.5Nuggets vs. Jazz money line: Denver +120, Utah -140DEN: G Jamal Murray has scored 92 points and had zero turnovers over the past two games.UTAH: G Jordan Clarkson has made eight of his past 14 3-point attempts, scoring 41 points over the past two games.Why the Jazz can cover
Utah has a dynamic backcourt that features Mitchell and point guard Mike Conley, who was added in the offseason. Conley missed the first two games to attend the birth of his third son, but he is averaging 23.3 points and 4.3 assists in three games and is among the team’s potent outside shooters. Mitchell is averaging 37.6 points and a team-best 5.6 assists in the series, and he is shooting 51.6 percent from three-point range while Conley is at 59.1.
Top shooter Bojan Bogdanovic was lost for the season with a wrist injury, but Joe Ingles, Jordan Clarkson and Georges Niang all can shoot from outside, making more than 38 percent of their attempts in the series. Neither team plays great defense on the perimeter, but Utah has two-time NBA Defensive Player of the Year in the middle in Rudy Gobert. The 7-foot-1 center is averaging 17.6 points, 10.2 rebounds and 1.4 blocks in the playoffs.
Why the Nuggets can cover
Denver is 6-2 against the spread in the last eight meetings and is led by Murray and 7-foot center Nikola Jokic, who scored 21 points in the first quarter Tuesday. The 23-year-old Murray is doing it all, averaging 30.8 points, 6.4 rebounds and 6.8 assists. He is making 52.4 percent of his three-pointers, while Jokic is hitting 47.2 and made a career-high seven from beyond the arc Tuesday. Jokic is averaging 26.4 points and just shy of eight rebounds per game.
The youthful Nuggets have plenty of options, with eight players averaging at least 20 minutes. Michael Porter Jr., a 6-foot-10 forward, scores 14.4 points, hitting 50 percent on his three-point attempts, and pulls down 5.6 rebounds per game. Small forward Jerami Grant scores 11.6 points and blocks a shot a game as the team is averaging 4.8 in the postseason. PJ Dozier made a difference off the bench in Game 5, finishing at plus-21 in his 20 minutes on the floor.
How to make Jazz vs. Nuggets picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over the total, predicting Murray and Jokic will combine for more than 50 points and four Jazz players will top 15. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Jazz vs. Nuggets? And which side of the spread cashes almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nuggets vs. Jazz spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,700 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.