It’s a battle of teams fighting to making the 2020 NCAA Tournament when the Cincinnati Bearcats host the Memphis Tigers in an AAC battle on Thursday night. Both teams were expected to be among the conference’s elite, but both come in off losses over the weekend. Memphis (17-6) suffered a surprising 75-72 setback to South Florida on Saturday, while Cincinnati (15-8) was upset 72-71 in overtime Sunday.
Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET at Fifth Third Arena in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Bearcats are 6.5-point favorites in the latest Cincinnati vs. Memphis odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 138. Before making any Memphis vs. Cincinnati picks or college basketball predictions, be sure to see what the proven SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has crushed its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread the past three years, returning $2,770 to $100 players. It also entered Week 15 of the 2019-20 season on a 42-27 run on all top-rated college basketball picks. Anybody who followed it has seen some huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Memphis vs. Cincinnati. You can visit SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are the college basketball lines and trends for Cincinnati vs. Memphis:
Memphis vs. Cincinnati spread: Bearcats -6.5Memphis vs. Cincinnati over-under: 138Memphis vs. Cincinnati money line: Bearcats -286, Tigers +227CIN: Center Chris Vogt has blocked 11 shots in the past three games, and UC has 25.MEM: Freshman guard Boogie Ellis is averaging 13 points over the past five games.Why Cincinnati can cover
Cincinnati is 5-0 against the spread in its last five games following an ATS loss, and the Bearcats have a strong nucleus built around senior Jarron Cumberland, the reigning AAC Player of the Year. The guard leads the team in scoring (15.1) and assists (4.6) and has hit 32.1 percent on 109 3-point attempts. Cousin and fellow senior Jaevin Cumberland has made 35.6 percent of his team-high 149 tries and averages 9.4 points.
Vogt and senior forward Tre Scott also play central roles for the Bearcats, who are 5-1 against the spread in their last six home games. The 7-foot-1 Vogt is the second-leading scorer at 12.7 points and grabs 6.1 rebounds and blocks 1.9 shots. Scott is the main man on the boards, pulling down 9.1, leads the team with 1.7 steals and chips in 10 points.
Why Memphis can cover
Even so, the Bearcats aren’t a lock to cover the Memphis vs. Cincinnati spread. The road team is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings, and the Tigers can wear teams down, boasting nine underclassmen who average at least 12.6 minutes per game. Freshman Precious Achiuwa has made an immediate impact. The forward leads the team in scoring (14.7 per game) and rebounds (9.8) and blocks 1.9 shots per contest. Tyler Harris (36.1 percent) and Boogie Ellis (33.1) are the main outside shooters, with a combined 199 attempts.
The Tigers are 6-3 against the spread with four or more days off, and they are strong on the defensive end. They rank second in the nation in opponents field-goal percentage at 36.4, allow 64.1 points per game and outscore opponents by almost 10.
How to make Memphis vs. Cincinnati picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with the simulations projecting the Tigers to score well under their average in the absence of D.J. Jeffries, while Vogt and Scott to have off nights for the Bearcats. The model also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations.
So who wins Memphis vs. Cincinnati? And which side of the spread is hitting well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cincinnati vs. Memphis spread to jump on Thursday, all from the advanced model on a 42-27 run on its top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.